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Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from farcar :Once the tire and graphics are updated, I'd love for the source code to be licensed out to other developers.

The foundations of LFS are so solid, and easily hold up today.
It would be awesome to see where others could take it.

Like what Reiza Studios did with Rfactor 1 (Automobilista) and Project Cars 2 (Automobilista2).

The idea of selling operating licenses for the LFS game engine is not absurd. On the other hand, I'm not sure we have anything to gain as players.

In fact, it is true that this would lead other studios to develop (perhaps more quickly Big grin) paid products competing with other packaging and cosmetic marketing targets. But it would be enough for the mod system to mature and be accompanied by a track editor and the possibility of creating your own championships to achieve the same result, with a level of freedom and creativity which risks becoming even rarer the future.

We don't have much power here, and certainly not to interfere in the LFS business plan. For my part, I hope that LFS will remain this historic monument of automobile simulation, independent, humanly open and accessible, creative and unique.

If the LFS game engine is sold in the form of commercial licenses, it is simply LFS which will disappear under competing offers based on the same physics. The balance of power between the big studios and the human resources of the current team will be much more disadvantageous than it is today. And undoubtedly fatal. But this choice is not ours. Shrug
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Viperakecske :LFS

{OFF TOPIC

Big grin

1) We are here in the "off topic" section.

2) I noticed this was a problem for you, but not everyone has the same uses as yours. This is valid for the game as well as for this forum.

3) For example, people who work (like me) receive messages by email, on their desktop computer or on their phone, at times when they are not always able to respond. They put it in a corner of their mind.

If when they can log in, the message they want to reply to has been modified, they are wasting time. That is why sometimes it is better to make several messages rather than modifications, of which no one will be notified.

Is it good for you ? Looking

4) don't worry, I will soon create an LFS topic that will fascinate you Big grin

OFF TOPIC END }
Last edited by Avraham Vandezwin, .
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
These messages are not all addressed to the same people and Aleksandr's message is inserted there. A problem ? Big Eye
Last edited by Avraham Vandezwin, . Reason : Name correction (I have a problem with it)
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from rane_nbg :Not at all, be my guest.

Smile I come back to the problem of recycling nuclear waste that I mentioned, in order to allow you to give us a complete answer in one go with the problem of hydrogen.

Do you think, as the RePlanet report mentions, that nuclear waste could generate centuries of clean energy? And that the nuclear economy could become quasi-circular? Or, at a minimum, get rid of its intractable waste?

Thanks Smile
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :Yes, it dilutes the topic and is something that needs to be avoided. But I didn't bring in philosophy, logic and Occam's razor into this thread. Avraham ...

Once again, you don't understand what we're talking about. Take the time to educate yourself before intervening with pointless monologues and your endless justifications that no one cares about here.

I sympathize, but don't bother me anymore with your nonsense. I still have a lot under the hood.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
To further contextualize my point without being chauvinistic Big grin, Belgian scientists have succeeded, for many years now, in producing affordable renewable green hydrogen.

Researchers from KU Leuven (University of Leuven) have succeeded in developing a special solar panel that produces hydrogen gas from moisture in the air. A single panel produces 250 liters of hydrogen per day. Twenty of these solar panels can provide electricity and heat to an entire family all year. My Dutch neighbors are already (and have been for a long time) equipping 1OO% autonomous housing cells with a similar principle. The remaining hydrogen produced can power the family car.

Smile These solutions exist and they work. States do not implement them because states finance themselves largely on energy consumption. This is why states are complicit with fossil fuel extractors. A big part of the problem is economic-political. As long as states live on energy consumption (especially wich of individuals) they will put in place false solutions that provide them with money.

However, the solution to the global energy problem rests, in my opinion, on the energy autonomy of citizens. This is the paradox to be resolved if we want to move towards real solutions. Because scientifically these simple and operational solutions already exist. Shrug
Last edited by Avraham Vandezwin, . Reason : bad wording
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from rane_nbg :Not at all, be my guest. I'm not in this field. It's just my observation from what I see at the conferences when guys talk about advances in their research for the development of fusion power. Nuclear (fission) power is already quite old tech from the 50's. It does have some drawbacks, but mostly is quite good, in fact, the best that we have at the moment taking into account how "green" it is overall.

If I understand you correctly Rane, it is only tomorrow's atomic bomb that can save us (unfortunately only partially) from the horrors of global warming?
Big grin I had an intuition of it, but not yet such a clear and radical vision. (joke)

Smile I'm glad this debate is finally becoming more interesting. And that everyone really starts to participate without gimmicks or falsifications.

New projects around nuclear fusion (particularly with miniaturization) will eventually succeed. The world of tomorrow will need new sources and types of energy. What raises questions for me here (like you) is the temporality of their implementation.
At the rate things are going in terms of global warming, it is more than likely that the consequences of global warming will quickly create chaos and suddenly slow down experimental research.
This is what bothers me about major fusion reactor projects. It's dependent on structures that require enormous funding and extremely long development times. But then again, perhaps you have good reasons to remain optimistic?

I agree with Paket42x. I think the oil companies will attack the natural resource (to the point of absurdity) if nothing stops them and our behavioural changes have little weight compared to the real issues (like producing and buying lithium cars)

Also, I wonder if replacing fossil fuels with solutions based on green hydrogen would not be a quicker way to ensure a energy transition than nuclear fusion?

Smile Can we also have your scientific opinion on this question?
Last edited by Avraham Vandezwin, . Reason : contextualization
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from rane_nbg :Well, if we do get the energy from fusion reactors in some 10-20 years, we're good, otherwise, we're screwed pretty much. I don't know how the top of German leadership manages to go by shutting down all nuclear power plants, it's absolute madness, this is the cleanest and most efficient energy source we have today.

I grant you, nuclear power is undoubtedly the best energy today in terms of pure efficiency, but perhaps not for long. In terms of cleanliness, reliability and safety, it's something else entirely.

France is regularly forced to shut down nuclear reactors due to the effects of global warming. Some of its nuclear power plants will soon find themselves with their feet in water, others without cooling water. The EPR construction site is an absolute disaster, at all levels... Waste management is still an unresolved problem and their supposed recycling still remains a pipe dream.

Smile I do not wish to enter into conflict with you on nuclear power, and I will listen to all your arguments. But I admit to being more than doubtful about this. Shrug
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from paket42x :I like watching Aleksandr_124 being destroyed here lol

Smile I'm not trying to destroy Alexander. I was just trying to make him understand that he understands absolutely nothing about global warming and its issues. As demonstrated by the very formulation of these “hypotheses” and almost all of his posts.
But I have to face the facts, this is an impossible task.Shrug
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from rane_nbg :Well, I skim through it. It is always the same story between you 3 guys Smile Trying to outsmart each other with fancy philosophical ideas, that does not solve anything, global warming is still happening, what ever we say Smile

Big grin In fact, I don't see where we approached the philosophical question? Some people seem to believe it, and it seems to please them. It is true that they have nothing to say apart from methodological nonsense devoid of real interest in this debate.

I hope at least that with the general knowledge elements posted here and some basic deconstructions, no one here will no longer say that global warming is not anthropogenic. Or that it is not dangerous for nature or for humans.
As for solutions... I think we need to prepare ourselves to face the reality, with little possibility of really softening the blow.Shrug

Smile Unless you have good news on that front?
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from SamH :No, you don't. That's about as direct and as obvious a lie as you could possibly tell. It's absolutely inconceivable that you could be anything more than trolling. What an unbelievable waste of time you've been.

Big grin I hadn't seen that. You are definitely surpassing yourself today. Be careful of overwork.
I mentioned one of these theses in one of my previous posts. You didn't even notice it. This shows what a competent and informed scientist you are.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from rane_nbg :You guys have so much free time.

Big grin I hope you don't waste time reading all this.
This topic is in itself an ecocide.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :I pointed...

Big grin You don't say anything substantial. You limit yourself to spreading texts without objects with the discussion to camouflage things. This won't alter the fact that your assumptions are terribly stupid.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from SamH :This is insane levels of projection.


If there's one thing I think we've all learned from your participation in this thread, it's that you don't follow logic in any argument. You give a good example of how you don't understand and have no capacity for this discussion. If you knew anything you'd know that the "Big Oil" studies assumed a simple system and a linear relationship between CO2 and temperature. The climate is not a simple system, it's a complex coupled system, and the effect of CO2 on temperature is not linear, it's logarithmic. The 50 year old studies made the "all other things being equal" assumption that we obviously know is incorrect.

Big grin Thank you SamH for informing me that science has progressed in fifty years. I admit that I had some concerns about this.
Exxon could have done its calculations on a Chinese abacus and engraved its results in cuneiform writing on a clay tablet. This would not change the fact that the world oil companies had calculated, and with surprising precision, their contribution to global warming as early as 1977. An anthropogenic contribution whose real impact you still partly deny.

This is, for example, what a propensity for conspiratorial delirium is.
Quote from SamH :
As for the IPCC, you seem to be labouring under the misunderstanding that this is a scientific body rather than a political one. The scientists involved in the IPCC are invited by politicians, not scientists, to participate. The SPM at the conclusion of the IPCC Assessment Report is put together by political government representatives and their invited NGOs, who together negotiate the document to the exclusion of scientists. This is how the system is designed to work, per the doctrine of the UNFCCC.

Big grin Do you also doubt that Youri Alekseïevitch Gagarine was the first human being to fly into space under the pretext that it was Soviet propaganda?
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :So you keep the dialogue going. Okay. But why if you're not answering to my thesis?

I set a prerequisite that you have not met.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
To make even more substitutes for my theses with your own and demolish them. Convenient.
As usual you don't respond to anything I've said. But unlike you, I don't do that.
And I have a superpower that you don't have. I can respond to an opponent's thesis.

See above.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
Can you give the logical formula for this statement? Either you don't understand anything about logic, which means you're talking bullshit (as you showed earlier).

The logic is as follows: the evidence shows that you had not consulted the IPCC reports before I provided you with links to these reports, as evidenced by our exchanges. Nothing else.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
And I question any sources, especially those that are not subject to any verification and falsification. But as my quote says, this source contains conclusions that have varying degrees of confidence. (strong or weak) any probabilistic conclusion is an inductive argument.

Who told you otherwise?

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
How come I can't access it if you provided the links yourself. Let's say you don't want to understand what I'm writing to you. But do you even understand what you're writing?

I was referring here to the fact that you could not find the references of the studies cited in the IPCC report, because you did not consult the full report. So I had to, again, provide you with a link to this full report.
I am only retracing the chronology of the facts. Which attest that your questions (your “theses”) predate your knowledge of the IPCC reports. I specify this because it could partly explain their lack of foundations. I'm just trying to put things into perspective here.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
I've already said that it only contains probability conclusions. Which is a reduction to induction.
You're talking about yourself. I have often noticed in the course of the dialogue that you like to project your mistakes onto others. That's exactly what's happening now.

Sorry, I'm past the age of school yard sandbox rhetoric.
You were asking yourself very basic questions about Earth's climate evolution (like the one below) which demonstrate that your climate knowledge is full of holes. Again, I gave you a link to the information you were missing. You were still going off on ramblings unrelated to the subject.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
The Earth has been around for billions of years, and you're saying "never before have temperatures changed so rapidly".
For example, researchers consider that Dino-Killing Asteroid Impact Warmed Earth's Climate about 4.5- to 5-degree [C, or 8.1 to 9 degrees F] change in average temperature for 100,000 Years.
This change is higher than it is now. Therefore, your statement is incorrect.

But I hope you just worded your thought incorrectly and meant the last 20,000 years, which I can agree with. But 20k years is nothing compared to the entire history of the earth.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
I didn't say anything about that, it's another thesis of yours that you substitute for the logical fallacy I mentioned in your other yours theses. It is convenient to do this when you do not respond to the theses of the interlocutor, but invent something of your own.
And saying that something is the "most probable" is an inductive argument. Again...

Yes, and that's why you call a man that you know nothing about a child who needs to go back to school..It's very responsible and humble and there's nothing personal about it.
You lie and commit thesis substitutions (strawmen), appeal to authority and majority as an argument, and others such logical fallacies that I pointed out earlier.
At the same time when you were talking complete rubbish I still tried to respond to you with respect. But if you don't want to communicate with respect, why should I? But I'm still trying, though. I find it harder each time I respond to disrespect with respect.

I tried to talk with you. But I don't have time to play. I happily exchange with those for whom words and concepts have meaning. Recognizing the validity of science and the elements on which scientists agree, has (for example) absolutely nothing to do with rhetoric or sophism. It’s a simple rational positioning.

I have nothing personal against you. Besides, I patiently respond to almost all your nonsense. Even if you say too much. Dissect all would be a full-time job. I have other things to do.
Your thinking is confused. You mix everything up. It's exhausting and discouraging to have to fight to make you hear so primary things.
You are neither in the debate nor in the quest for understanding. You don't even try to understand your interlocutors. Not only that, but you just want to be right, and you use every trick possible to convince yourself of that. I'm sorry, these tricks don't work on me.
You are systematically involved in controversy, provocation, and the distortion of realities, even in the most serious and reprehensible personal attacks. I refuse to give you the pleasure of falling into this trap, but you know exactly what I'm talking about. You obviously have no concept of what respect for people is. But as you can see, once again, I answer you. You will have to make an effort if you don't want it to be the last time.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
Ohhh... This means that you don't have to answer the interlocutor's questions and theses. You can instead make up your own and answer them. I see how that works for you.
I'm sorry, but that's not how I see it. I consider it a matter of respect in a discussion to respond to questions and to specific thesis.

This means, as I have already explained to you several times, that your thesis is not admissible as it stands. Because it has absolutely no semantic significance, to the extent that it is devoid of any societal perspective.
Explanatory contextual note:
Blind spots of your introductory hypothesis (abridged):
1- How will humanity survive chain cataclysms, particularly nuclear ones, pollution and social disorders resulting from the loss of coasts and the melting of permafrost, glaciers and poles, etc.? And for how long ?
Subsidiary questions; What macro-sociological impacts will the sixth mass extinction, systemic economic collapses have? The same goes for the scarcity of drinking water and essential foodstuffs, etc. and resulting turf wars?
Even if your pretty little green greenhouse had a chance of existing climatically. For how long would it exist? And for what humanity? Those are the real questions.
You place your hypothesis as a competitor to scientific predictions presented as catastrophic (by the sensationalist media, of which SamH seems to be fond of). However, the purpose of these scientific forecasts is to define prevention policies and means of action. Humans are always at the centre of climate issues.
Your greenhouse hypothesis makes no sense because it is devoid of any contextual insight. The statement “People will be able to settle in areas further from the coast. » does not constitute an admissible proposal, because it is totally disconnected from the health and societal realities which will result from global warming as measured. The disappearance of the coasts, for example, will not occur gradually and predictably depending on the average level of rising water levels. The ratings will disappear suddenly, with a combination of sudden weather phenomena, caused and/or amplified by global warming. The rise in ocean temperature is already disrupting ecosystems and killing organisms, with countless irreversible consequences. Etc. Etc. Etc. The list of aberrations of your postulate is endless.

Your hypotheses escape rationality in that they tend to refute an objective reality: the catastrophe of global warming is already a reality for tens of millions of people in the world, for the fauna and for the flora.

In their very formulations, what you call your hypotheses, are only a question mark placed behind tautologies which are ignored itself, such as:
Does water get wet? Is the fire burning? Is death mortal?

I tried to tell you in a nicer way. You didn't understand it. So you force me to be clearer. If I had to evaluate your hypotheses, I would use a negative rating system, as their level of absurdity is beyond comprehension.

When I read from your pen and that of SamH that there is no "significant increase in sea levels", while entire populations are already seeing their habitat disappear, that in my region alone 2 million people will have to -be displaced and that it is the first economic lung of the country which will soon be underwater. I seriously wonder what's going on in your head?
When I read in your introduction to this topic:

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :I find it debatable that global warming is anthropogynesic. I agree that there is an increase in average temperatures, and there is an increase in human emissions of carbon-containing products. But global warming and global cooling is a frequent event if you think throughout the history of the earth. And there is a possibility that the decrease in average temperature and the decrease in the nitrogen layer is just part of another such cycle. To accurately assess the human impact, you need to calculate the exact amount of CO2 emissions from human and non-human causes over at least a few decades and see what the correlations are with temperature.

I note with disappointment that you know nothing about how the IPCC modelling tools work.
The proof of the anthropogenic origin of global warming is mathematically demonstrated: if we remove the CO2 of human origin, the models no longer establish warming CQFD. The gradual increase in temperatures linked to CO2 emissions has also been mathematically demonstrated since the 1970s, notably by a company like Total which shares few interests with IPCC scientists. As early as 1977, ExxonMobil had precisely modeled the gradual impact of fossil fuel combustion on global warming. The veracity of these calculations has been verified because these 1977 calculations corroborate current measurements.
The consequences of the melting of the poles and glaciers are established, particularly in their impact on global sea levels and the proportion of fresh water in the functioning of the dominant currents.etc. etc.

Global warming, if it increases in the calculated proportions, will cause immeasurable planetary disorders. Your thesis of the pretty little green greenhouse and the conspiratorial rantings of SamH, constitute only Idiosyncratic blisters stuck to the surface of reality, like boogers under a dunce's school desk. In more consensual terms: this is childishness.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :
You yourself mention probabilistic inference and logic here. In the same comment you talk about "kindergarten ramblings about inductive and deductive arguments" You're the one talking about deduction and induction here. What is wrong with you? Or do you not understand at all what you are talking about?
Once again, you are once again dissing your own knowledge of philosophy.

Inductive argument is an assertion that uses assumptions or observations to make a broader generalization. Inductive arguments, by their nature, possess some degree of uncertainty which leads to probabilistic conclusions. They are used to show the likelihood that a conclusion drawn from known premises is true.

Deductive argument establishes a conclusion to be true by stating two or more true premises that lead to the conclusion being true i.e. it is impossible for the premises to be true and the conclusion to be false. Premises are offered to provide logically conclusive support for its conclusion.

In other words reasoning by induction are assessed as strong or weak - as more or less probable.
And deduction as valid or invalid - as in formal logic.

That is you yourself constantly talk about logic, but you never make any logical deductions yourself and only make attempts at inductive arguments. Which is what I keep pointing out. Which makes it clear you don't know what you're talking about. Over and over again. All questions except the first about the logical formula are rhetorical. I still give you a chance to prove that you understand what you are talking about and I will try not to make any unambiguous conclusions in advance. But answering questions and my theses is what is hard to expect from you.

Big grin It's amazing to produce so much gibberish and copy/paste to say nothing. I note that for once, you use definitions... this is already, in itself, a mark of progress.

Once again you are mixing everything up and understanding nothing. When I say "There is absolutely nothing 'inductive' about saying that you, like SamH, are more likely to be wrong than the scientific community", I am trying to make you understand in a cordial way, but apparently too subtle, that the facts don't need demonstrated: they are observed.

The fact that you and SamH are not credible on the climate issue does not require any sort of argumentative demonstration. This is what we call obvious in everyday language.

The logic, the only one that is valid here, is that the scientific community alerts us to global warming based on a meta-analysis of all current scientific data. And may your prevarications and personal fantasies weigh nothing compared to the scientific reality of global warming. Unless you give yourself the means of scientific demonstration in order to invalidate the conclusions of the IPCC.
However, neither you nor SamH have formulated anything scientific here. Nor anything likely to cast doubt on the consensus thesis. Nor even to suggest that you understand anything about current climate issues and their consequences for nature and for man.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from SamH :I'm not saying anything that isn't either common knowledge in the scientific community or isn't absolutely mainstream climate science. What I'm NOT doing is parroting the politically motivated activists' talking points, narratives and spin.

The vast majority of the field of climate science is interested only in advancing their knowledge and making discoveries. They are NOT trying to promote themselves for glory by becoming lead authors on the IPCC working groups, or promoting or advocating their world view, or saying the right things in order to get grant approvals from a politicised and corrupted funding authority or to make front page "only 6 months to save the world" headlines.

On the other hand, there is an element that DOES all those things, and because you know so little on the subject you only know how to find that stuff to repeat here. And you have no idea HOW MUCH you DON'T know.

You have once again demonstrated that your position is purely ideological and that there is nothing scientific about it. But your ranting has no effect on me. Unlike you, I am not a conspiracy theorist. I also know the dissident theses. I chose my side objectively.

If I follow the logic of your argument, that your positions are debated in the scientific community, we are both just reciting a different catechism. If you don't like that of IPCC, refer to the studies commissioned by Total in the 1970s, which reached exactly the same conclusions as the IPCC reports on the causes, nature, and progress of global warming.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :The burden of proof on the assertor. If I myself were to pick something from a site with "thousands of scientific papers", you might say that's not what you meant. And I should have chosen something else.

But it's a good link, it's still a large number of examples instead of the one I asked for. Because it's a summarizing report of studies with the conclusions that have varying degrees of confidence and not all of which are catastrophic or clearly bad. And so it's going to take some time to look at.

Quote from Avraham Vandezwin :Smile I'm glad you like this link, even if in my haste I didn't paste you the right PDF link Big grin
If you want something accessible and well-researched on the general problem of global warming and the legitimate doubts it inspires, see this.
https://bonpote.com/en/did-the-scientific-consensus-on-climate-change-reach-100/

EDIT:
I would just like to clear up a possible misunderstanding that has just occurred to me. When I said:


Scientific data are sufficient from a scientific point of view and for the scientific community, as my last link proves to you.
Scientific data seems insufficient to non-scientists. Particularly because for some time now, the internet and the media have been infested with trolls who convey false information according to which scientific consensus does not exist. Or even that the correlation between global warming and human activity is not scientifically established. This is strictly false. Look at my last link in this post.

The above led me to the logical conclusion that you did not have the sources for the studies whose validity you were questioning. You were even unable to access on your own the complete study with the references. I provided it to you.

Most of your statements here demonstrate that your knowledge of the subject is extremely incomplete. Stop constantly reinventing yourself, you're not fooling anyone.

I assure you that there is no logical error in thinking that what is scientifically agreed by consensus upon is unfortunately the most probable. This is my position, even if I don't like the prognosis. The only personal opinion I have put forward here is that I doubt that we will succeed in taking collective action on global warming.

Unlike others here, I do not venture into anticipations and personal ramblings. At no point in this thread have I reported anything other than the words of the scientists themselves, on climate issues, in respect of the principles of responsibility and humility. You should try. You will see that it is relaxing to accept that there may be skills and intelligence superior to yours. If you lack data to understand what climate future (and its consequences) we are heading towards, others have it for you. They understood and analysed them.

I would also like to bring to your attention a distinction in meaning that perhaps does not exist in Russian? A language in which, it seems, the words have no common meaning. In the languages I use, a "dialogue" is not an "interrogation". Your interlocutors are not there to respond to all your meaningless injunctions.

Your kindergarten ramblings about inductive and deductive arguments are irrelevant to this debate. I am not presenting any personal argument here. I give you access to current scientific knowledge. The fact that this scientific data does not support your personal representations does not matter to me in any way. There is absolutely nothing "inductive" about saying that you, like SamH, are more likely to be wrong than the scientific community as a whole, whatever you say about the climate.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from Dennis93 :Just to put some gasoline on the fire;
Has it ever been processed that the moon is moving slightly further away from the earth every year, and this is causing a less spherical shape of the waters(Which I guess also makes the time in sun longer??). Which in return has less circulation and creates more heat from the outcome?

You're welcome for the very (un)scientific comment from a guy who is contributing greatly to the collapse of the climate.

The phenomenon you are talking about is well known to scientists and studied precisely since the end of the sixties (since the first mission of Appolo 11). You will very easily find a considerable amount of scientific information on this subject.

To make it short and answer your question, in addition to what Aleksandr said. This phenomenon is caused by Earth's tides which exert a gravitational force on the Moon and accelerate its movement, thus expelling it from the Earth's sphere of influence. The exchange of energy between the Earth and the moon also slows down the Earth's rotation speed.

If the modifed distance from the Earth and the Moon is real and measurable, and this has modified the Earth's climate and will continue to do so, this distance has no effect on current global warming. Because this distance of 3.78 cm per year is significant on a completely different time scale (like Aleksandr said you). Its temporal incidence is, for example, less than 2 milliseconds per century...

It seems you are mixing 2 known phenomena. The distance between the moon and the earth that I have just talked about (and which has real effects on the climate measurable on a geological level) and the recent work of meteorologist Ed Hawkins on the 18-year lunar cycles, which have a real influence, but weak on warming and will contribute to an increase in temperatures around 2O30. Currently, the influence of this cycle leads to a cooling of 0.04°C.

The mechanism is as follows: tidal intensity modifies the mixing between warmer waters at the ocean surface and colder deep waters. This changes the rate at which the oceans can absorb heat. The effect is negligible on current warming.

The particularity and danger of current global warming, to which you contribute greatly Big grin, is that it is the fastest ever recorded on earth. It is for this reason that natural adaptation to the sudden changes that await us cannot take place without causing serious problems.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from SamH :I even put it at the very beginning, to improve the chance of you paying attention. Shrug

Thanks. But I know how to read. I clarified things by "ensuring common and mutual understanding", second part of your sentence.
Avraham Vandezwin
S3 licensed
Quote from SamH :This is not me engaging in discussion with you, Avraham, but merely ensuring a common and mutual understanding.

You are objectively wrong in what you say about Alexandr, and you have demonstrated this repeatedly in this thread, and in another thread I read. I very strongly believe that you know you're wrong, though, and that makes you a bad faith actor.

As for your understanding of climate science, it seems quite clear to me that you don't have any. Every argument you present is at its heart either a misrepresentation of current understanding or a complete misunderstanding of current knowledge. You are what we call "unconsciously incompetent". That is to say that you know or understand so little about the subject that you genuinely don't know how foolish the representations you make about it, in fact, actually are.

I consider myself to be in part "consciously competent" WRT climate science, but in many respects about the intricacies of the statistics, "consciously incompetent". As a pragmatic fallibilist, I'm able to say this. Meanwhile, what YOU say is irrelevent to me and also irrelevent to any wider debate on the topic, either because it's fundamentally or it's trivially lacking in substance.

In that respect, yes, for you it's the end of debate because you're far beyond the limit of your understanding, and because you've demonstrated an inability to mature or further your knowledge in the discussion - something MOST other participants HAVE been able to do.

You are fascinatingly pretentious, and your attempts at recovery are pathetic. Anyone who has followed this thread realizes this.
I have not put forward any scientific proposition here. You haven't done more.
I referred you to the scientific arguments of the IPCC which you claim are invalid without being able to demonstrate why ?

So the real situation is this: You and Alexandr claim to have a scientific truth superior to the current scientific consensus on global warming in the name of scientific doubt and nothing else. And that should matter more than the work and conclusions of experts.

While neither you nor Alexandr have any kind of scientific training and you seem (for Alexandr it is sure) to discover the scientific studies that are presented to you here.

Tilt And your conclusion is that I am incompetent!

SamH, you know what ? You are absolutely fantastic ! Big grin
Avraham Vandezwin
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Quote from SamH :Rofl

Right up there with The Science Is Settled®

Big grin You elevate incomprehension to the level of artistic performance.
[end of discussion with Alexandr]
Avraham Vandezwin
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Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :But overall it was amusing to watch a man who presents himself as a philosopher talk rubbish about Occam's Razor. It was clear from the way he put it in out of place that the person did not understand what he was talking about. I even set up one test and purposely gave him the opportunity to break down his argument with the usual deductive arguments. But it wasn't noticed. I didn't expect otherwise, though.

All I'm saying is that people should at least try to follow the rules of argumentation and make deductive arguments, not reduce everything they have to induction. I think anyone who has taken philosophy 101 (or any basic philosophy course) understands the problem of induction and that only deductive arguments are valid.

I urge you all to raise the level of discourse to an adequate level that assumes at least some reasoning behind what you are saying.

Once again, you are deluding yourself and telling yourself stories. Occam's razor is used wisely on hypotheses that are valid, or at least admissible as such. Which was absolutely not the case with your proposal. You don't use a philosophical tool to mash butter on a tablecloth.

Correction: I said I followed a 5-year philosophical course in higher education and made a living from the concept (I didn't say philosophical). I don't claim to be a philosopher.

But I know enough about philosophy (and things in general) to make an objective judgment on your statements, your approximate references and your erroneous intellectual paths.

I repeat it to you for the last time. You are certainly deluding yourself about your abilities. But you will not deceive me.

[End of the discussion ]
Avraham Vandezwin
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Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :I'm not even going to start reading this longread, because as I said earlier you can't provide arguments and maintain an adequate level of discourse and apparently all you can do is stoop to appeals to personality and\or insults.

This long book is not addressed to you and does not contain any kind of insults or personal appeals. This contextualizes your speech.

Everyone has understood (I hope?), that your intelligence and your remarkable scientific knowledge allow you to scientifically question the current scientific consensus. Because common sense and scientific logic dictates that what is scientifically demonstrated must be deconstructed scientifically. Scientific doubt does not boil down to: “this is not true, because no one have a crystal ball”. Big grin
Avraham Vandezwin
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Quote from Gutholz :
It is interesting how some people are so sceptical towards science. It is the same science that built the computer you are currently typing on. The same science that landed us on the moon and made all kind of stuff possible. Nobody is doubting science when they need to get their appendix removed. Nobody ever said: "That is all fake science, integrated circuits are not real. I will build my own graphics card."
But when it comes to climate change, suddenly everyone is an expert.

Big grin There is no man so blind as he who refuses to see.

How do you want these people to access the evidence of reality? They are deaf, proud of it, satisfied with themselves, intoxicated with the scent of their flawed thoughts.

Their scientific culture is as null as their reflective faculties. We cannot judge anything without knowing the difference between a dictionary definition, a philosopher's witticism, a contextual explanation of any position taken at random from Wikipedia. This is the basis. No one can think that way. If those who claim to be scientific skepticism knew what it was, they would spare themselves the ridicule of talking about it.

Cartesian doubt, at the origin of scientific skepticism, led Renée Descartes himself to the evidence of the existence of God. The real meaning of Descartes’ famous quote is: “I think therefore I am, because God made me.” Cartesian doubt was in fact only a disguised ontological proof. But this, undoubtedly, is not clearly explained in Wikipedia. The irony of History here is that Cartesianism, which was only an intellectual integration of Christian biblical fundamentals, which are the product of a loss of meaning of the original text (for short), is also the philosophical alibi of consumerist ideology. The circle is complete.

Scientific skepticism, manipulated by subjects with short ideas, only serves to reinforce pre-existing certainties. Even a thought as weak and devious as that of Descartes was aware of this trap. It is for this reason that Descartes advised against the use of doubt for less fertile minds. Doubt will only produce in them the illusion of being right.

You can present all possible objective data to those who lay claim scientific scepticism without understanding it. They will methodically reproduce the same errors of judgment. They will constantly return to the same insignificant arguments, drowned in their interpretive gibberish. Because that’s what it’s really about: judging science without having the basic means necessary to understand it. Everyone must choose between understanding or being right. For these people, the choice is made before any reflection.

People who lock themselves in denial will stay in denial. They don't try to understand. Their certainties precede and condition all their pseudo analyses. This positioning effectively allows them, you are right, to instantly become experts in scientific data that they did not know yesterday. Because they only seek material to feed their denialist discourse through the distorting prism that constitutes their uneducated prejudices. Like a reverse anamorphosis, which would deconstruct the readable image of observable reality.

These climate sceptics deny the proven catastrophe of global warming. The one that has already happened before their eyes. With its disastrous repercussions on the fauna and flora, and on the fragile balance of current climatic conditions, which are largely based on dominant marine currents whose functioning is threatened.

These people refuse to admit the catastrophe represented by the proven reduction of 70 to 80% of insect populations in Western agro-industrial landscapes. They refuse to consider the human catastrophe represented by the displacement of tens of millions of people around the world due to current global warming, and the millions of deaths already caused. These climate sceptics deny the real threat of the non-replenishment of permafrost, which accelerates global warming to considerable proportions.

" Yes indeed ! But that doesn’t count since it’s natural and not man-made! » Will retort the dunce from the back of the class. “In what proportions exactly? Give me your graphs so I can see them to show you that you are wrong” the donkey in the front row will demand. This is the story of this subject, which will repeat itself again and again.

But denial has a logical basis and a utility. It is a preservation mechanism.

Understanding the phenomenon of global warming that we are experiencing, and becoming aware of its consequences, are in no way gratifying. The actual reality of the disorder and destruction currently underway is dramatically anxiety-provoking. A relevant analysis of these phenomena leads inexorably to the understanding that the force of inertia of our political-economic system will not make it possible to avoid the shock, or even to absorb it. We are obviously heading towards global warming of more than 4° in the very near future.

It is therefore difficult to talk about global warming, because this debate is painful. The objective realism that this debate implies is not very fruitful, in the sense that very few things actually depend on our will and our capacity to act. Most of us have already figured this out.

If the denial of global warming is so widespread among others, it is because it is much more comfortable to accept than the objective reality. Nothing to do here with scientific scepticism.

This objective reality forces us to admit that the catastrophe of global warming is not a collective fantasy fuelled by historical concepts such as apocalyptic thinking. Nor is this catastrophe an anticipation of a science fiction author frozen in cinema iconography.

Yes, global warming is already a disaster for nature and for humanity. Yes, the cause of global warming is undoubtedly of human origin. The cause of global warming is anthropogenic. This current global warming is already irremediably and profoundly changing the world we know. The reason for global warming: or why man has turned a blind eye to his actions until this point, is the result of beliefs. It is on these beliefs that our political and economic ideologies are based. In the absence of being able to act collectively on global warming, this is what we need to understand to move this debate forward.

Global warming is not the cumulative result of isolated and uncontrollable causes. This global warming that we will have to face is the result of a dominant philosophical thought, inherited from Christian biblical fantasies, called Cartesianism.

Thus, it is the ideology of a man, born at the end of the 16th century and its subsequent extensions, which will have led us into the climatic impasse. This thought and the beliefs on which it is based are also at the source of the magical thinking according to which global warming is not anthropogenic, and that its effects would be negligible on nature and on man.

Quote from Aleksandr_124rus :

2. Theory does not equal practice. Graphs, correlations and predictions of the future do not equal a working and functioning system in reality. Do you know what the Law of identity is? Apparently not, otherwise you wouldn't be talking such nonsense.

3. Doubt is first and foremost what scientists themselves do, and that is why they verify and falsify their claims, hypotheses and theories. Read what scientific scepticism is. But when it comes to climate change, suddenly everyone is an expert. Who know exactly what's going to happen in the future.
But I don't know. If you're such great fortune tellers. Tell me, for example, which lottery ticket to buy to win a lot of money.

Rofl

No comments, but thanks for that.
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